Resource: Roll and Keep Probability

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Vutall
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Resource: Roll and Keep Probability

Post by Vutall » Sun Jun 07, 2020 6:39 pm

In case you are curious what a dice roll should normally come out to, here is a link to an online dice probability calculator for the Roll and Keep system.

https://web.archive.org/web/20160126005 ... ility/#9k3
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Kaito Kai
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Re: Resource: Roll and Keep Probability

Post by Kaito Kai » Sun Jun 07, 2020 6:48 pm

Everyone's favorite probability table is back up and running under its own domain apart from Web Archive (at least as of early June 2020).

https://lynks.se/probability/
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Kaito Haruki
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Re: Resource: Roll and Keep Probability

Post by Kaito Haruki » Fri Jun 12, 2020 10:49 am

Is there any site that gives the l5r probability for if you're trying for low numbers?
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Vutall
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Re: Resource: Roll and Keep Probability

Post by Vutall » Fri Jun 12, 2020 12:07 pm

You mean like when you specifically choose to keep the low dice? Not that I know of unfortunately.
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Iuchi Prashant
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Re: Resource: Roll and Keep Probability

Post by Iuchi Prashant » Fri Jun 12, 2020 1:30 pm

What would you like exactly? The average and standard deviation of the lowest dice in XkY rolls, or the probability of rolling less than or equal to a given value if keeping the lowest dice? Or maybe something different?

I might be able to come up with something on R if it's one of the above that you're looking for.
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Kaito Haruki
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Re: Resource: Roll and Keep Probability

Post by Kaito Haruki » Fri Jun 12, 2020 7:41 pm

Would like the odds to roll X or less
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Iuchi Prashant
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Re: Resource: Roll and Keep Probability

Post by Iuchi Prashant » Fri Jun 12, 2020 10:16 pm

I'll see if I can come up with something (or find something)!
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Togashi Dao
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Re: Resource: Roll and Keep Probability

Post by Togashi Dao » Sat Jun 13, 2020 12:17 pm

Can't you just use the supplied tool to calculate odds of rolling greater than X and then subtract from 1?
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Seppun Suzuran
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Re: Resource: Roll and Keep Probability

Post by Seppun Suzuran » Sat Jun 13, 2020 1:16 pm

Togashi Dao wrote:
Sat Jun 13, 2020 12:17 pm
Can't you just use the supplied tool to calculate odds of rolling greater than X and then subtract from 1?
That would give you the odds of rolling under with keeping the highest dice, absolutely. If you have a 70% chance of rolling equal or higher than X, then you have a 30% chance of rolling lower. The tools work for that.

If one is asking about staying under a certain number while keeping the lowest, however... that probably isn't represented in those tools. Keeping low has been exceedingly rare in all my years running/playing outside of sparing/dueling damage rolls, so it's just not come up.
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Kaiu Aiichiro
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Re: Resource: Roll and Keep Probability

Post by Kaiu Aiichiro » Sun Jun 14, 2020 11:05 am

Seppun Suzuran wrote:
Sat Jun 13, 2020 1:16 pm
Togashi Dao wrote:
Sat Jun 13, 2020 12:17 pm
Can't you just use the supplied tool to calculate odds of rolling greater than X and then subtract from 1?
That would give you the odds of rolling under with keeping the highest dice, absolutely. If you have a 70% chance of rolling equal or higher than X, then you have a 30% chance of rolling lower. The tools work for that.

If one is asking about staying under a certain number while keeping the lowest, however... that probably isn't represented in those tools. Keeping low has been exceedingly rare in all my years running/playing outside of sparing/dueling damage rolls, so it's just not come up.
I only kept lower dice once and it was because of Shinjo ancestor that I decided to interpretate as "no unnecessary bloodbath if you can bring your opponent down to Out instead".
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